Watching all the coverage of the latest economic stimulus on television, one question comes to my mind repeatedly. Has the government been holding out on us all? Immediately after all, if the point of the spending bill would be to get the economy going again, generate jobs, put people back to work, save the environment, and get credit markets unfrozen, then the government has a lot of explaining to do about why its prior packages failed.
The new stimulus will present nearly $800 billion for the president to invest on a number of projects, plus numerous tax cuts. Will this be the magic $800 billion that saves the economy, regardless of the already practically $8 trillion that the Federal Reserve, Treasury, FDIC, along with other government agencies have spent or supplied to the banking, insurance, and auto industries?
It always appears like “this next package” from the politicians is what will get the economy moving once more. But there is certainly in no way any acknowledgment of the failures of previous plans. Stopping foreclosures is an additional of this plan’s objectives, but each program the government has put in place to address the foreclosure rate has failed. Hope Now, Project Lifeline, the Hope for Homeowners Act — none has but put additional than a couple of band-aids on a ruptured artery.
But over and over once more, Americans are promised that, by just stealing more of their money through borrowing and inflation, the government can put them back to work, produce new green jobs, save the planet, and lower taxes. The magic wand that may make all this wonderfulness out of a corrupt economy fueled by simple government credit is, naturally, the printing press. Trillions of dollars have already been developed, and trillions additional are on the way.
While the $800 billion stimulus bill just isn’t the beginning, it’s also not the end of the government interventions within the marketplace. The wrong regulations set up the housing market to fail, and now new regulations will stop the entire economy from recovering. On top of that, we will all need to pay our share of the many bailouts of industries which are failing for quite valid factors — they’re out of money, out of consumers, and out of trust.
Creating $8 trillion within the space of a year, with nothing but more spending planned for the future, will result in only additional complications for the economy. Instead of causing the subsequent Excellent Depression, exactly where dollars was tight and unemployment high, the government is setting us up for a far worse fate: an inflationary depression, where unemployment is high but prices keep rising anyway. After performing its current duty of covering up losses at monetary institutions and other industries, all of the newly designed money will eventually uncover its way into the market and drive up prices.
Now will be the time for Americans to begin saving more, paying down debt, and reducing consumption. But these actions are exactly what the government is stopping from happening. A reduction in consumption may well trigger some companies to go out of business. Nonetheless, businesses need savings as a way to boost production, and both the savings rate along with the industrial base in the country have been decimated over the past decades.
If the government doesn’t allow the correction to happen, the present recession may continue for years. The government can not stop foreclosure, save the planet, or develop lasting jobs for a significant segment of the country. All it can do is redistribute cash from successful businesses to failed ones, destroy the currency, and encourage the exact opposite of what is needed to obtain the economy working once more. Unfortunately, destroying what exactly is left of the economy appears to be precisely what the politicians are trying to do.